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The vodka brands to watch in 2015

Will the flavour phenomenen continue to thrive or will consumers return to more classic expressions? We select the vodka brands and trends to watch in 2015.

What will be the key vodka trends and brands to watch next year?

Changing consumer tastes, global economic headwinds and political turbulences have all impacted the global vodka market over the past 12 months.

While wacky vodka flavours have found an enthusiastic fan base over the past few years, analysts have warned for some time that the sub-sector may start to cannibalise the wider category as consumers experience “flavour fatigue”. Some producers continue to innovate in the flavoured arena, but the year ahead will most likely see a greater focus on marketing around provenance, heritage and authenticity.

Some flavoured brands such as Pinnacle will however continue to innovate on the flavoured front and attempt to offset US declines by launching in other international markets. In North America, the craft spirits scene is predicted to continue its monumental growth, with a large number of independent distilleries creating vodka or gin to fund longer-term whiskey creation.

In particular, an influx of new distilleries over the past 12 months has damaged the sales of established premium and super- premium brands, such as Absolut and Smirnoff. Discussing the end of year financial results, Pernod Ricard CEO Pierre Pringuet said: “We are not pleased with the performance of Absolut in the US. The reality is that there are several hundred new entrants in the market, and while 99% or more of these brands will not survive, the problem is that they do take market share.”

Investments

Diageo-owned Smirnoff also dropped 4% during 2013/14 due to a competitive marketplace in the US, but the group’s CEO Ivan Menezes pledged to continue to pump investment into the brand and push its super-premium extensions.

Meanwhile, in the UK, recent Nielson figures have suggested vodka may out-sell blended whisky as the best-selling supermarket spirit. In the year to August 2014, vodka sales were up 0.3% to 44.6m litres, with its rate of growth predicted to increase until 2016. On the other hand blended whisky sales slumped 1.7% to 49.7m litres.

International vodka producers will surely be turning their gaze apprehensively towards the east in the coming year, as tensions between Russia and the west remain. Spirits were exempt from president Putin’s ban on western agricultural imports, but some producers have admitted to preparing for the further deterioration of political relations, and the effect this could have on trade.

Next year will give a clearer picture of the wider effects of these actions as the situation plays out. For now, the outlook in Eastern Europe remains cautious.

Key trends

  • As the consumer craze for homespun brands continues, 2015 will surely see a greater influx of independent craft brands.
  • South American emerging markets are set to latch onto vodka to a greater extent, turning away from traditional spirits brandy and cachaça.
  • As drinkers become more health conscious, the gluten-free and sugar- free labelling trend is sure to impact vodka even more next year.

Pinnacle

Beam Suntory’s 40-strong flavoured vodka range Pinnacle will launch outside of the US for the first time next year. It will be interesting to see how enthusiastically the international markets react to Pinnacle’s wide array of flavours, particularly in light of analysts’ predictions the flavoured vodka market will continue to decline.

Stolichnaya

This year, Stolichnaya vodka, owned by SPI Group, launched a new multi-million pound international marketing campaign and also expanded its footprint on the coveted US market through a new partnership with Southern Wine & Spirits.

Deep Eddy

Deep Eddy may not be the most well-known vodka brand in the world, but with plans to open a new Texas distillery and an ambitious target of 2m case sales, the brand is setting its sight on the international market. The brand, currently only available in the US, will be looking to expand in global duty free, and is also assessing distribution in other international markets.

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